Mortality Population Risk Tool (MPoRT)




Mortality Population Risk Tool (MPoRT). A predictive algorithm for the calculation of 5-year risk of dying from all-causes. Developed and validated using the 2001 to 2008 Canadian Community Health Surveys (CCHS) with approximately 1 million person-years of follow-up and 9,900 deaths. Focus on health behaviours (smoking, diet, physical inactivity and alcohol consumption). The model is currently calibrated for Canada, 2013, with provisions to calibrate to other countries.


1) Manuel DG, Perez R, Sanmartin C, Taljaard M, Hennessy D, Wilson K, et al. (2016) Measuring Burden of Unhealthy Behaviours Using a Multivariable Predictive Approach: Life Expectancy Lost in Canada Attributable to Smoking, Alcohol, Physical Inactivity, and Diet. PLoS Med 13(8): e1002082. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1002082